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NordVind Energy Supply Chain Risk Assessment

The Life Cycle and Supply Chain
of Renewable Energy
A Risk Assessment Supply Deep Dive

Supply chain risk assessments for hydropower developers, from regulatory compliance to the turbines, steel and civil works a project depends on.

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The Approach

Value created,
risk managed

Supply chain sustainability is a strategic capability, not a compliance exercise. Every engagement turns regulatory pressure and supply-chain exposure into a clear, prioritised picture you can act on.

01 · Regulatory readiness

Obligations made concrete

CSRD, CS3D and the EU Taxonomy translated into the specific duties that apply to a hydropower developer, and when they take effect.

02 · Supply-chain resilience

Exposure made visible

Single-source dependencies, geographic concentration and supplier health mapped into an actionable risk picture, from Tier 1 down to the materials beneath it.

03 · Due diligence

Risk assessed end to end

Scope 3 emissions, human-rights and environmental risk assessed the whole way down the value chain, aligned with OECD and UN guidance.

8+Years in ESG & climate risk
6Risk dimensions assessed
30Due-diligence questions
5+EU frameworks covered

Grounded in the frameworks that matter

CSRDCS3DEU TaxonomyCRMaTNFDOECD GuidelinesUN Guiding Principles
In plain terms

What is supply-chain due diligence?

It is the ongoing process of finding, preventing and accounting for the environmental and human-rights risks tied to the suppliers and materials a company depends on, reaching past its direct suppliers to the tiers beneath them.

Under CS3D and the Norwegian Transparency Act it is becoming a legal duty. Done well, it is also an early-warning system: the same visibility that satisfies regulators is what protects you from disruption.

The Landscape

Hydropower is built on
long, heavy supply chains

A hydropower plant is decades of concrete, steel and precision machinery: turbines and generators with multi year lead times, penstocks, gates and civil works sourced across borders. That is where sustainability risk, regulatory exposure and supply disruption converge.

01 · Regulatory

Due diligence is now the law

CSRD, CS3D and the EU Taxonomy turn supply chain due diligence into a legal obligation rather than a voluntary disclosure. For hydropower the Taxonomy also sets water and biodiversity criteria, and reporting reaches deep into the value chain.

02 · Lead time

A single component can hold up a project

Large turbines, generators and cast components come from a small number of specialised manufacturers, with lead times measured in years. One delay, strike or export restriction can hold up an entire build.

03 · Material

Risk stays invisible without traceability

Steel, copper and concrete carry a heavy carbon footprint, and reservoirs touch rivers, land and communities. Without traceability and clear water rights, that exposure stays hidden until it surfaces as disruption, reputational damage or liability.

Where the risk sits: sector estimates

≈4 yrLead time for a large turbine and generator set
80 yrDesign life of a hydropower asset, decisions locked in for decades
40%+Of project cost in civil works: dams, tunnels and concrete
2027CS3D due-diligence duties begin phasing in for large EU firms

From water to grid: the hydropower chain

Water
Reservoir
Turbine
Generation
Grid
Capabilities

Supply chain expertise
built for hydropower

Hydropower depends on supply chains that span borders, from turbine forges to civil contractors, and carry concentrated technical and environmental risk. We provide the expertise to navigate that complexity with clarity and concrete results.

REG

Regulatory Navigation

Energy companies face a rapidly expanding regulatory landscape. EU CSRD mandates supply chain reporting. CS3D requires active due diligence across value chains. The EU Taxonomy sets binding sustainability criteria for energy investments. We interpret these obligations and translate them into concrete actions for your procurement teams, category strategies, and supplier management processes, with a clear view of what applies to your organisation and when.

DUE

Due Diligence and Risk Mapping

Hydropower turbines and generators come from a handful of specialised manufacturers. Penstocks and gates depend on heavy steel fabrication. Civil works touch rivers, land and local communities. We map these risks systematically using structured due diligence and supply chain mapping, prioritise them by exposure level, and establish continuous monitoring programmes that give your organisation early warning before disruptions reach the site.

ENG

Strategic Supplier Engagement

Risk exposure alone does not drive improvement. Structured engagement does. We lead targeted supplier dialogues based on risk tier, performance data, and sustainability targets. For critical or high-risk suppliers in renewable energy supply chains, we design and facilitate improvement programmes with measurable milestones. For strategic partners, we support joint decarbonisation initiatives that build resilience while strengthening your ESG position with investors and customers.

SME

Subject Matter Expertise

Hydropower sits at the intersection of heavy industry, environmental regulation, and long asset lifecycles. Manufacturing of turbines, generators and large castings is concentrated and lead time constrained. We bring deep technical understanding of these dynamics, including bottlenecks in large castings and electrical steel, water and biodiversity requirements under the EU Taxonomy, and the practical implications of due diligence for procurement decisions.

TRN

Training and Capacity Building

Sustainable procurement capability must be built internally to outlast any advisory engagement. We design and deliver targeted training for procurement teams, project managers, and asset owners on sustainability risk identification, supplier due diligence, and regulatory obligations. Training is grounded in sector-specific examples: how to assess a turbine manufacturer's supply chain, what to look for in a civil works contractor audit, and how to evaluate the environmental claims behind a reservoir project.

STR

ESG Procurement Strategy

Sustainability, cost, supply security, and resilience are not competing objectives in the energy sector. When managed well, they reinforce each other. We help organisations integrate ESG criteria into category strategies, supplier scorecards, and sourcing decisions. This means moving beyond checkbox compliance toward procurement approaches that identify the most sustainable and resilient supply chains for the long-term requirements of hydropower development, from refurbishment of existing plants to new build, dams, tunnels and grid connection.

Value Chain Analysis

Follow the value chain,
stage by stage

Sustainability risk is not spread evenly. It concentrates at specific points in the value chain. Select a stage to see where the activities, exposures and Scope 3 emissions actually sit.

Value Chain Dashboard

The value chain,
quantified

A worked example: one company's value chain data across emissions, risk, suppliers and regulatory readiness. This is how a completed assessment becomes a picture you can monitor.

Fossheim Hydropower
Illustrative sample · mid-size Nordic hydropower developer
Sample data
Scope 3 emissions
Risk exposure by stage
Suppliers & spend
Regulatory readiness
Interactive · Risk Model

Stress-test the risk,
in real time

The same company, seen as a live risk model. Move the scenario controls and watch Value-at-Risk, the resilience index, supplier scores and every KPI recompute. Grounded in a structured risk methodology, not a static picture.

Fossheim Hydropower
Illustrative sample · interactive risk model
Live model · baseline
Scenario controls · what-if Baseline scenario
Shock events
Geopolitical shockExport controls on large castings and electrical steel
Key supplier disruptionHighest-risk supplier fails
Climate-physical eventFlood or storm at key sites
Regulatory tighteningCS3D / CRMa enforcement steps up
Levers
Commodity price change0%
Demand change0%
Diversification effort0%
Stress cascade · inactive
Value-at-Risk by category
Resilience index
Supplier risk heatmap
Regulatory & compliance risk
Transparent by design

How the score
works

No black box. Supplier risk is a weighted blend of five indicators, and the composite score combines Value-at-Risk, supplier risk and resilience. Here is the full weighting.

Supplier score: indicator weights
Geographic
25%
Financial
20%
ESG
20%
Concentration
20%
Delivery
15%
The rest of the model

Tiers run on a 0 to 100 scale: Low under 25, Medium to 50, High to 75, Critical above. Value-at-Risk is a 3,000-run Monte Carlo of category likelihood × impact; the resilience index dampens those impacts; the composite score weights all three: VaR 40%, supplier risk 35%, resilience 25%.

Risk Assessment

Where does your
supply chain stand?

Assess the risk in your hydropower supply chain in one of two ways: a two-minute screening for a quick read, or a comprehensive assessment for a full risk profile. Switch between them at any time.

Quick Screen

Basic value chain
screening

A two-minute check of the fundamentals. Answer seven quick questions for a traffic-light read on your value chain exposure, before or instead of the full assessment below.

0 of 7 answered
Erlend Brenna Raabe ski touring in the mountains
The Advisor

Strategy meets
supply chain reality.

Erlend Brenna Raabe is an environmental engineer and senior sustainability advisor with a background in Industrial Ecology and more than eight years across ESG, climate accounting, life cycle assessment, and climate and nature risk. He specialises in mapping and managing sustainability risk across complex, international value chains, and in translating EU and national regulation into concrete procurement and business decisions. Regulatory complexity becomes operational clarity. Risk exposure becomes a structured action plan.

CSRD & EU Taxonomy Scope 3 & Value Chain Mapping Life Cycle Assessment Climate Risk (Physical & Transition) Supply Chain Due Diligence TNFD / Nature Risk Double Materiality
Engage Us

Let's map your
risk landscape.

Whether you are facing regulatory pressure, supply chain disruption, or strategic uncertainty, reach out to discuss how a structured assessment can deliver concrete results for your organisation.

erlend.raabe@gmail.com
+47 92 61 13 41
Oslo, Norway, serving clients across Europe

Thank you.

Your enquiry has been received. We will review your details and respond within one business day to discuss next steps.

Erlend Brenna Raabe with a Samoyed dog
Senior Supply Chain Sustainability Advisor

Erlend Brenna Raabe

Environmental engineer and senior sustainability advisor with a background in Industrial Ecology and more than eight years across life cycle assessment, Scope 3 and value chain emissions, climate risk and supply chain due diligence. He turns EU and national regulation into concrete requirements and decisions, bringing structure to ambiguity and making technical complexity clear to specialists and decision makers alike.

8+Years in ESG & climate risk
€4MEU research funding secured
12,000Emission factors modelled
Core Competencies
Analytical Leadership and Stakeholder Engagement
Combines strong analytical capabilities with the ability to influence and build credibility across complex organisations, from procurement teams to executive leadership and board-level stakeholders. Translates technical risk findings into language that drives decisions.
Life Cycle Assessment and Climate Risk
Quantifies impact across the full life cycle of products and projects, from a database of 12,000 life cycle based emission factors to EU Taxonomy climate risk assessments covering both physical and transition risk, using this to find where in the value chain intervention has the greatest effect.
Sustainability and Procurement Integration
Bridges ESG strategy and operational reality: Scope 3 and value chain analysis, life cycle based emission factors, and due diligence under CSDDD, the Forced Labour Regulation and the Norwegian Transparency Act, including worker rights in the supply chain and circular-economy measures, translating regulation into concrete procurement and sourcing decisions.
Process Development and Change Management
Built a sustainability programme from scratch at NRK, an organisation of over 2,000 employees, and served as Product Owner for a climate accounting platform used by more than 1,600 users across Norway, Sweden, Denmark and Iceland, defining reporting standards for a sector that had none in place.
Regulatory Expertise into Operational Clarity
Deep, current knowledge of CSRD, the EU Taxonomy (including DNSH), VSME, the GHG Protocol and the Norwegian Transparency Act, with a track record of running double materiality assessments and turning complex legal frameworks into clear operational implications for the teams that need to act on them.
Strategic Prioritisation
Strategic mindset with the ability to balance competing objectives: cost, sustainability, resilience, and supply security in complex procurement environments where trade-offs are rarely straightforward and perfect solutions do not exist.
Risk Landscape into Business Insight
Structured analytical approach to complex risk environments: climate and nature risk assessment using the TNFD LEAP framework and EU Taxonomy DNSH criteria, translating exposure across value chains into clear business insights and prioritised action plans that leadership can act on with confidence.
Approach and Methodology

Supply chain sustainability is not a compliance exercise. It is a strategic capability. This approach starts from the business reality: the pressures of cost, delivery, and security of supply that procurement teams face every day. Sustainability is integrated into that reality, not bolted on top of it.

Assessment engagements begin with a thorough mapping of the organisation's risk landscape, covering regulatory exposure, supplier geography, critical dependencies, and current process maturity. From there, findings are translated into a prioritised action plan with concrete, measurable outcomes.

Stakeholder engagement is central throughout. Procurement teams develop the internal competence to sustain improvements. Leadership receives the business case, presented in their language, to back the necessary investments.

Framework Expertise
EU CSRDCorporate Sustainability Reporting Directive: double materiality and value chain reporting
EU TaxonomyDo No Significant Harm (DNSH) screening and climate risk assessment for eligible activities
VSMEVoluntary SME standard: proportionate sustainability reporting for smaller suppliers
GHG ProtocolScope 1, 2 and 3 accounting built on life cycle based emission factors
TNFD LEAPLocate, Evaluate, Assess, Prepare: nature and biodiversity risk analysis
ÅpenhetslovenNorwegian Transparency Act: human rights and decent work due diligence
ISO 14067/64/01Product and organisational carbon footprint and environmental management systems
Sector Specialisation

Rooted in renewable energy and industrial ecology: a bachelor's in Energy Technology and Renewable Energy and a master's in Industrial Ecology specialising in life cycle assessment and renewable energy, with a thesis on the full life cycle of electric heavy-duty vehicles and charging infrastructure. Since then, life cycle and supply chain analysis spanning construction, transport, media, data centres and property, identifying climate and nature related risks and opportunities throughout clients' value chains.

Work with Erlend

Available for project-based engagements, embedded advisory, and interim roles across Europe.

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